With alarming headlines coming out of the Middle East, economists will be wary of sharing forecasts that might unnecessarily spook consumers or investors. Nonetheless, while Wall Street has remained ...

The bull case for economic growth has weakened as oil spikes. Goldman raised its recession odds this week and others see a ...

Oregon lawmakers will have $538 million more than economists previously projected, according to the latest forecast.

Economist forecasts are getting more bearish, but most still don't expect a recession. The biggest risk to markets is that oil prices remain elevated, causing a recession. Stocks have bounced back ...

The 10-year/three-month Treasury yield spread is the signal I'm looking at. These two points on the curve are important for two reasons: The three-month yield closely tracks the federal funds rate. It ...

Shortly after President Donald Trump unveiled his tariff and trade policy following the close of trading on April 2, the broad-based S&P 500 (^GSPC-0.25%), growth-dependent Nasdaq Composite ...

An inverted yield curve is a good, if imperfect, recession indicator. The economy has been resilient to the latest inversion.

Recession fears are ramping up again, and now top economists at Moody's forecast a 49% chance that a U.S. recession will begin in the next 12 months. Analysts at Goldman Sachs are slightly more ...